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Author: Seth Pfaehler

Mortgage Rates Just Saw Their Biggest Drop in a Year

You’ve been waiting for what feels like forever for mortgage rates to finally budge. And last week, they did – in a big way.

On Friday, September 5th, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to the lowest level since October 2024. It was the biggest one-day decline in over a year.

What Sparked the Drop?

According to Mortgage News Daily, this was a reaction to the August jobs report, which came out weaker-than-expected for a second month in a row. That sent signals across the financial markets, and then mortgage rates came down as a result.

Basically, we’re seeing signs the economy may be slowing down, and as certainty grows in the direction the economy is going, the markets are reacting to what is likely ahead. That historically brings mortgage rates down.

Why Buyers Should Pay Attention Now

But this isn’t just about one day of headlines or one report. It’s about what the drop means for you.

This recent change saves you money when you buy a home. The chart below shows you an example of what a monthly mortgage payment (principal and interest) would be at 7% (where mortgage rates were in May) versus where rates roughly are now:

Compared to just 4 months ago, your future monthly payment would be almost $200 less per month. That’s close to $2,400 a year in savings.

How Long Will It Last?

That really depends on where the economy and inflation go from here. Rates could drop lower, or they could inch up slightly. 

So, make sure you’re connected with a good agent and trusted lender. They’ll keep a close eye on inflation indicators, job market updates, and reactions to upcoming Fed policy to gauge where mortgage rates may go from here.

But for now, focus on this. While no one can say for sure where rates are headed, the fact that rates broke out of their months-long rut is a good thing. If you’ve been feeling stuck, this could make the start of a new chapter. As Diana Olick, Senior Real Estate and Climate Correspondent at CNBC, says:

“Rates are finally breaking out of the high 6% range, where they’ve been stuck for months.” 

And that’s gives you more reason to hope than you’ve had in quite some time.

Bottom Line

This is the shift you’ve been waiting for.

Mortgage rates just saw their biggest decline in over a year. And if rates stay near this level, it could make a home you couldn’t afford just a few months ago feel possible again.

What would today’s rates save you on your future monthly payment? Connect with an agent or lender so you can find out.

Why 50% of Homes Are Selling for Under Asking and How To Avoid It

If your selling strategy still assumes you’ll get multiple offers over asking, it’s officially time for a reset. That frenzied seller’s market is behind us. And here are the numbers to prove it. 

From Frenzy to “Normal”

Right now, about 50% of homes on the market are selling for less than their asking price, according to the latest data from Cotality.

But that isn’t necessarily bad news, even if it feels like it. Here’s why. The wild run-up over the last few years was never going to be sustainable. The housing market needed a reset, and data shows that’s exactly what’s happening right now.

The graph below uses data from Zillow to show how this trend has shifted over time. Here’s what it tells us:

  • 2018–2019: 50–55% of homes sold under asking. That was the norm.
  • 2021–2022: Only 25% sold under asking, thanks to record-low rates and intense buyer demand.
  • 2025: 50% of homes are selling below asking. That’s much closer to what’s typical in the housing market.

Why This Matters If You’re Selling Your House

In this return to normal, your pricing strategy is more important than ever.

A few years ago, you could overprice your house and still get swarmed with offers. But now, buyers have more options, tighter budgets, and less urgency.

Today, your asking price can be make or break for your sale, especially right out of the gate. Your first two weeks on the market are the most important window because that’s when the most serious buyers are paying attention to your listing. Miss your price during that crucial period, and your sale will grind to a halt. Buyers will look right past it. And once your listing sits long enough to go stale, it’ll be hard to sell for your asking price.

The Ideal Formula

Basically, sellers who cling to outdated expectations end up dealing with price cuts, lower offers, and a longer time just sitting on the market. But homeowners who understand what’s happening are still winning, even today.

Because that stat about 50% of homes selling for under asking also means the other half are selling at or above – as long as they’re priced right from the start.

So, how do you set yourself up for success? Do these 3 things:

  1. Prep your house. Tackle essential repairs and touch-ups before you list. If your house looks great, you’ll have a better chance to sell at (or over) your asking price.
  2. Price strategically from day one. Don’t rely on what nearby homes are listed for. Lean on your agent for what they’ve actually sold for. And price your house based on that.
  3. Stay flexible. Be ready to negotiate. And know that it doesn’t always have to be on price. It may be on repairs, closing costs, or some other detail. But know this: today’s serious buyers expect some give-and-take.

If you want your house to be one that sells for at (or even more than) your asking price, it’s time to plan for the market you’re in today – not the one we saw a few years ago. And that’s exactly why you need a stand-out local agent.

Bottom Line

You don’t want to fall behind in this market.

So, talk to an agent about what buyers in your area are paying right now. With their expertise and a strategy that gets your house noticed in those crucial first two weeks, anything is possible.

Want to know what your house would sell for?

Builder Incentives Reach 5-Year High

Even with more homes on the market right now, some buyers are still having a tough time finding the right one at the right price. Maybe the layout feels off. Maybe it still needs some updating. Or maybe it’s just more of the same.

That’s why more buyers are turning to new construction – and finding some of the best deals available today.

Why? Today, many builders have more homes that are finished and sitting on the market than normal. And that means they’re motivated to sell. They’re running a business, and they don’t want to sit on their inventory. They want to sell it before they build more homes. And that can definitely work in your favor.

As Lance Lambert, Co-Founder of ResiClub, puts it:

“In housing markets where unsold completed inventory has built up, many homebuilders have pulled back on their spec builds—and many are doing bigger incentives or outright price cuts to move unsold inventory.”

Incentives Are the Highest They’ve Been in 5 Years

Data from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) shows 66% of builders offered sales incentives in August. That’s the peak so far this year, and the highest percentage we’ve seen in 5 years.

a graph of blue rectangular bars with numbersThat means 2 out of every 3 builders are offering something extra to get deals done. And when builders throw in incentives, it’s the buyers like you who win.

Price Cuts Are Back on the Table

One of the most common incentives they’re offering right now is adjusting the price. According to NAHB, almost 40% of builders are doing price cuts (see graph below):

On average they’re taking off about 5% off the purchase price of the house. For a buyer, 5% could be the difference between reluctantly settling and finally getting a home that works for you.

Take a $500,000 house as an example. If builders reduce the price by 5%, you’re saving $25,000.

And even if the builder you’re interested in won’t budge on price, they’ve got plenty of other levers to pull. As Realtor.com explains: 

“. . . there are deals to be found in the market for new homes, with builders increasingly willing to negotiate on price or offer incentives such as rate buydowns and closing cost assistance.”

Why This Matters for You

As a buyer, you probably have a clear vision for your ideal home. Because you’re not just buying any house. You’re buying your house. The one with the space, features, and lifestyle you’ve been hoping for. New builds can check those boxes since they usually have: 

  • Bigger kitchens and open layouts
  • Energy efficiency (hello lower utility bills)
  • Smart-home upgrades
  • Fewer repair headaches on day one

And today’s incentives make buying a new home more attainable than it’s been in years.

One Word of Advice: Don’t Go At It Alone

If you want to take advantage of this opportunity, just be sure to use your own agent. Builder reps aren’t there to save you money. They protect the builder’s bottom line. That’s why you need to bring your agent with you. Your agent will:

  • Cut through the sales pitch and run the cold hard numbers
  • Spot which incentives are actually worth it (and which ones are fluff)
  • Handle negotiations so you walk away with the best deal possible
  • Keep your best interest as their top priority

Bottom Line

If you’re not finding a home you love, the new home market is buzzing with opportunity. With record-high incentives, price cuts in play, and builders itching to move inventory, this is the best time in years to buy new construction.

Curious how far today’s incentives could stretch your budget? Connect with an agent to see what builders are offering in your area.

What Mortgage Delinquencies Tell Us About the Future of Foreclosures

You may be seeing headlines about how foreclosures are rising. And if that makes you nervous that we’re headed for another crash, here’s what you should know. 

According to ATTOM, during the housing crash, over nine million people went through some sort of distressed sale (2007-2011). Last year, there were just over 300,000.

So, even with the increase lately, we’re talking about numbers that are dramatically lower. But what does the future hold? Is a wave coming? The short answer is, no.

Here’s why. Experts in the industry look at mortgage delinquencies (loans that are more than 30 days past due) as an early sign for potential foreclosures down the line. And the latest data for delinquencies is reassuring about the market overall.

Right now, delinquencies as a whole are consistent with where we ended last year, which means we’re not seeing the kind of increase that would signal widespread trouble.

But there are some key indicators to continue to watch. Marina Walsh, Vice President of Industry Analysis at the Mortgage Bankers Association, explains:

“While overall mortgage delinquencies are relatively flat compared to last year, the composition has changed.”

Right now, borrowers with FHA mortgages currently make up the biggest share of new delinquencies (see graph below):

a graph of a number of peopleAnd here’s why that may be happening. Borrowers with FHA mortgages may be more sensitive to shifts in the economy. And with recession fears, stubborn inflation, employment challenges, and more, it makes sense this segment of the market may be feeling it a bit more. But that doesn’t mean it’s a signal a crash is coming.

If you look back at the graph, it shows, while there are more FHA loans experiencing hardship than the norm, delinquency rates for other loan types remain low and stable. Back during the crash, delinquency rates were significantly elevated for all 4 categories.

That means the broader mortgage market is on much stronger footing than it was back in 2008. As ResiClub says:

“The recent uptick in mortgage delinquency seems to be concentrated among FHA borrowers, however, mortgage performance remains very solid when viewed in light of the twenty-year history of our data.”

The Region with the Most FHA Loans

Here’s another reason this isn’t a signal of trouble ahead. FHA loans only make up about 12% of all home loans nationwide. But like anything else in housing, local data matters. There are some regions of the country where there are more of this type of loan than others, particularly the South.

The map below does not show how many FHA loans are delinquent. It just shows the overall concentration of FHA loans by state, so you can see which regions have the greatest volume (see map below):

a map of the united statesAs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York explains:

“Looking at geographic concentrations of loans, recent data indicate that a higher proportion of mortgage balances are delinquent in many of the southern states . . . we see that higher delinquency rates coincide with a higher share of FHA loans across states.”

Just remember, even the delinquencies rates we’re seeing now aren’t as high as they were in 2008. Again, this is not a signal of a crisis. But it is something experts will monitor in the months ahead. 

If You’re Experiencing Financial Hardship

No one wants to see anyone face the challenges of foreclosure. But just know that, if you’re a homeowner struggling with payments, you’re not alone – and you do have options.

The first step is reaching out to your mortgage provider. In many cases, you may be able to set up a repayment plan or explore loan modifications to help you stay on track. And for many homeowners today, you may also have enough equity to sell your house and avoid foreclosure. Odds are, at least some of these delinquencies will go that route since homeowners today have near record amounts of equity in their homes. It may be worth seeing if that could be an option for you too.

Bottom Line

Foreclosures are rising slightly, but they’re nowhere near the levels of 2008. And delinquency trends don’t point to a crash ahead.

This is something industry professionals are going to watch in the days ahead. If you want to stay up to date, connect with an agent or lender so you always have the latest information.

Stay informed